Cincinnati Reds@Atlanta Braves

Statlyra analysis

Statlyra projects 3.56 combined runs in F5: 1.36 for Cincinnati Reds and 2.20 for Atlanta Braves.

The selection Under 4.5 runs F5 carries an estimated probability of 71.3%. Andrew Abbott starts for Cincinnati Reds and Chris Sale for Atlanta Braves; the projection is built on their starter metrics.

Starters

Andrew Abbott (CIN) · Chris Sale (ATL)

Period

First five innings

Market

Game total

What supports this prediction

• 3.56 projected against a 4.5 line: 0.94 below.
• Projected split: CIN 1.36 - ATL 2.20.
• 71.3% computed with an independent Poisson model over the projected runs.
• Projection built on the starter metric: MLB weighted ERA.

Model: v5.0.0