Cleveland Guardians@Boston Red Sox

Statlyra analysis

Statlyra projects 1.61 runs for Cleveland Guardians in F5, within an estimated 3.42 for the matchup.

The selection Cleveland Guardians Under 2.5 runs · innings 1–5 carries an estimated probability of 78.0%. Foster Griffin starts for Cleveland Guardians and Sonny Gray for Boston Red Sox; the projection is built on their starter metrics.

Starters

Foster Griffin (CLE) · Sonny Gray (BOS)

Period

First five innings

Market

Team total

What supports this prediction

• 1.61 projected against a 2.5 line: 0.89 below.
• Projected split: CLE 1.61 - BOS 1.81.
• 78.0% computed with an independent Poisson model over the projected runs.
• Projection built on the starter metric: MLB weighted ERA.

Model: v5.0.0