Tampa Bay Rays@New York Yankees

Statlyra analysis

Statlyra projects 3.59 runs for Tampa Bay Rays in F9, within an estimated 7.83 for the matchup.

The selection Tampa Bay Rays Under 4.5 runs carries an estimated probability of 70.8%. Ian Seymour starts for Tampa Bay Rays and Gerrit Cole for New York Yankees; the projection is built on their starter metrics.

Starters

Ian Seymour (TB) · Gerrit Cole (NYY)

Period

Full game

Market

Team total

What supports this prediction

• 3.59 projected against a 4.5 line: 0.91 below.
• Projected split: TB 3.59 - NYY 4.24.
• 70.8% computed with an independent Poisson model over the projected runs.
• Projection built on the starter metric: MLB weighted ERA.

Model: v5.0.0