Chicago White Sox@Kansas City Royals

Statlyra analysis

Statlyra projects 3.83 runs for Kansas City Royals in F9, within an estimated 8.18 for the matchup.

The selection Kansas City Royals Under 4.5 runs carries an estimated probability of 66.2%. Erick Fedde starts for Chicago White Sox and Seth Lugo for Kansas City Royals; the projection is built on their starter metrics.

Starters

Erick Fedde (CWS) · Seth Lugo (KC)

Period

Full game

Market

Team total

What supports this prediction

• 3.83 projected against a 4.5 line: 0.67 below.
• Projected split: CWS 4.35 - KC 3.83.
• 66.2% computed with an independent Poisson model over the projected runs.
• Projection built on the starter metric: MLB weighted ERA.

Model: v5.0.0