New York Mets@Texas Rangers

Statlyra analysis

Statlyra projects 1.72 runs for New York Mets in F5, within an estimated 3.66 for the matchup.

The selection New York Mets Under 2.5 runs · innings 1–5 carries an estimated probability of 75.1%. Nolan McLean starts for New York Mets and Cody Bradford for Texas Rangers; the projection is built on their starter metrics.

Starters

Nolan McLean (NYM) · Cody Bradford (TEX)

Period

First five innings

Market

Team total

What supports this prediction

• 1.72 projected against a 2.5 line: 0.78 below.
• Projected split: NYM 1.72 - TEX 1.93.
• 75.1% computed with an independent Poisson model over the projected runs.
• Projection built on the starter metric: MLB weighted ERA.

Model: v5.0.0