Arizona Diamondbacks@Colorado Rockies

Statlyra analysis

In F9 Statlyra projects 4.01 runs for Arizona Diamondbacks and 4.23 for Colorado Rockies, a margin of 0.22 in favour of Colorado Rockies.

The selection Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 F9 carries an estimated probability of 67.6%. Merrill Kelly starts for Arizona Diamondbacks and Mason Adams for Colorado Rockies; the projection is built on their starter metrics.

Starters

Merrill Kelly (AZ) · Mason Adams (COL)

Period

Full game

Market

Run line

What supports this prediction

• Projected margin of 0.22 against a +1.5 handicap.
• Projected split: AZ 4.01 - COL 4.23.
• 67.6% computed with an independent Poisson model over the projected runs.
• Projection built on the starter metric: MLB weighted ERA.

Model: v5.0.0