Toronto Blue Jays@Baltimore Orioles

Statlyra analysis

Statlyra projects 1.83 runs for Baltimore Orioles in F5, within an estimated 5.13 for the matchup.

The selection Baltimore Orioles Under 2.5 runs · innings 1–5 carries an estimated probability of 72.3%. CJ Van Eyk starts for Toronto Blue Jays and Trey Gibson for Baltimore Orioles; the projection is built on their starter metrics.

Starters

CJ Van Eyk (TOR) · Trey Gibson (BAL)

Period

First five innings

Market

Team total

What supports this prediction

• 1.83 projected against a 2.5 line: 0.67 below.
• Projected split: TOR 3.30 - BAL 1.83.
• 72.3% computed with an independent Poisson model over the projected runs.
• Projection built on the starter metric: MLB weighted ERA.

Model: v5.0.0