Washington Nationals@Detroit Tigers

Statlyra analysis

Statlyra projects 1.67 runs for Detroit Tigers in F5, within an estimated 3.92 for the matchup.

The selection Detroit Tigers Under 2.5 runs · innings 1–5 carries an estimated probability of 76.5%. Richard Lovelady starts for Washington Nationals and Framber Valdez for Detroit Tigers; the projection is built on their starter metrics.

Starters

Richard Lovelady (WSH) · Framber Valdez (DET)

Period

First five innings

Market

Team total

What supports this prediction

• 1.67 projected against a 2.5 line: 0.83 below.
• Projected split: WSH 2.25 - DET 1.67.
• 76.5% computed with an independent Poisson model over the projected runs.
• Projection built on the starter metric: MLB weighted ERA.

Model: v5.0.0