Minnesota Twins@San Francisco Giants

Statlyra analysis

Statlyra projects 3.78 runs for Minnesota Twins in F9, within an estimated 8.35 for the matchup.

The selection Minnesota Twins Under 4.5 runs carries an estimated probability of 67.2%. Connor Prielipp starts for Minnesota Twins and Cesar Perdomo for San Francisco Giants; the projection is built on their starter metrics.

Starters

Connor Prielipp (MIN) · Cesar Perdomo (SF)

Period

Full game

Market

Team total

What supports this prediction

• 3.78 projected against a 4.5 line: 0.72 below.
• Projected split: MIN 3.78 - SF 4.57.
• 67.2% computed with an independent Poisson model over the projected runs.
• Projection built on the starter metric: MLB weighted ERA.

Model: v5.0.0