Tampa Bay Rays@Milwaukee Brewers

Statlyra analysis

Statlyra projects 1.71 runs for Tampa Bay Rays in F5, within an estimated 3.88 for the matchup.

The selection Tampa Bay Rays Under 2.5 runs · innings 1–5 carries an estimated probability of 75.5%. Drew Rasmussen starts for Tampa Bay Rays and Logan Henderson for Milwaukee Brewers; the projection is built on their starter metrics.

Starters

Drew Rasmussen (TB) · Logan Henderson (MIL)

Period

First five innings

Market

Team total

What supports this prediction

• 1.71 projected against a 2.5 line: 0.79 below.
• Projected split: TB 1.71 - MIL 2.17.
• 75.5% computed with an independent Poisson model over the projected runs.
• Projection built on the starter metric: MLB weighted ERA.

Model: v5.0.0