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FinalStatlyra prediction

September 16, 2026 at 7:40 PM

MIA

Away

Miami Marlins

Ryan Gusto

4

vs.

Score

AZ

Home

Arizona Diamondbacks

Merrill Kelly

3

LIVE Game Center

Final

Updated 10:33:46 PM

Stadium

Chase Field

Phoenix, AZ · 48,405 capacity

Outfield 328 · 407 · 335 ft

Weather

Roof Closed, 74°F

Wind

0 mph, None

Team123456789RHE
MIAMIAMiami Marlins0220000004100
AZAZArizona Diamondbacks0100100103101

Game finished

Batter, count and runner information is shown while the game is live.

Recent plays

MLB · EN
  1. ▼9

    Diamondbacks challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Jordan Lawlar caught stealing 2nd base, catcher Joe Mack to shortstop Otto Lopez.

    MIA 4 · AZ 3
  2. ▼9

    Lars Nootbaar walks.

    MIA 4 · AZ 3
  3. ▼9

    Tim Tawa flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.

    MIA 4 · AZ 3
  4. ▼9

    Pavin Smith flies out to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.

    MIA 4 · AZ 3
  5. ▲9

    Griffin Conine grounds into a double play, pitcher Jonathan Loáisiga to shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Pavin Smith. Otto Lopez out at 2nd. Griffin Conine out at 1st.

    MIA 4 · AZ 3
  6. ▲9

    Otto Lopez singles on a line drive to center fielder Tim Tawa. Heriberto Hernández to 2nd.

    MIA 4 · AZ 3
  7. ▲9

    Heriberto Hernández singles on a line drive to center fielder Tim Tawa.

    MIA 4 · AZ 3
  8. ▲9

    Kyle Stowers strikes out swinging.

    MIA 4 · AZ 3
  9. ▼8

    Jose Fernandez strikes out swinging.

    MIA 4 · AZ 3
  10. ▼8

    Nolan Arenado homers (26) on a line drive to left center field.

    MIA 4 · AZ 3
Statlyra predictionWon

Selection

Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5

F9 handicap

Probability

68.7%

Rating

8/10

Visual rating

★★★★★

Frozen record

Model
v5.0.0
Game ID
825031
Published
September 15, 2026 at 12:16 AM
Frozen
September 15, 2026 at 12:16 AM

Analysis

Statlyra rationale

Proyección 4.04-3.87 (total 7.91); línea +1.5; probabilidad 68.7%. Base abridores: visitante contra ERA ponderada MLB; local contra ERA ponderada MLB.