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FinalStatlyra prediction

September 12, 2026 at 12:20 PM

PIT

Away

Pittsburgh Pirates

Paul Skenes

3

vs.

Score

CHC

Home

Chicago Cubs

Clay Holmes

4

LIVE Game Center

Final

Updated 02:48:45 PM

Stadium

Wrigley Field

Chicago, IL · 41,298 capacity

Outfield 355 · 400 · 353 ft

Weather

Partly Cloudy, 83°F

Wind

9 mph, Out To CF

Team123456789RHE
PITPITPittsburgh Pirates000003000360
CHCCHCChicago Cubs10100002–451

Game finished

Batter, count and runner information is shown while the game is live.

Recent plays

MLB · EN
  1. ▲9

    Bryan Reynolds challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Bryan Reynolds called out on strikes.

    PIT 3 · CHC 4
  2. ▲9

    Brandon Lowe flies out to right fielder Matt Shaw.

    PIT 3 · CHC 4
  3. ▲9

    Oneil Cruz lines out to left fielder Tyrone Taylor.

    PIT 3 · CHC 4
  4. ▲9

    Rafael Flores Jr. singles on a ground ball to third baseman Alex Bregman.

    PIT 3 · CHC 4
  5. ▼8

    Michael Conforto strikes out swinging.

    PIT 3 · CHC 4
  6. ▼8

    Nico Hoerner hit by pitch. Alex Bregman scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd. Matt Shaw to 2nd.

    PIT 3 · CHC 4
  7. ▼8

    Matt Shaw walks. Pedro Ramírez scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd. Seiya Suzuki to 2nd.

    PIT 3 · CHC 3
  8. ▼8

    Seiya Suzuki walks. Pedro Ramírez to 3rd. Alex Bregman to 2nd.

    PIT 3 · CHC 2
  9. ▼8

    Alex Bregman hit by pitch.

    PIT 3 · CHC 2
  10. ▼8

    Pete Crow-Armstrong challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Pete Crow-Armstrong called out on strikes.

    PIT 3 · CHC 2
Statlyra predictionWon

Selection

Pittsburgh Pirates Under 2.5 runs · innings 1–5

Probability

74.5%

Rating

10/10

Visual rating

★★★★★

Frozen record

Model
v5.0.0
Game ID
824630
Published
September 11, 2026 at 12:15 AM
Frozen
September 11, 2026 at 12:15 AM

Analysis

Statlyra rationale

Proyección 1.74-2.36 (total 4.11); línea +2.5; probabilidad 74.5%. Base abridores: visitante contra ERA ponderada MLB; local contra ERA ponderada MLB.