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FinalStatlyra prediction

September 18, 2026 at 4:40 PM

KC

Away

Kansas City Royals

Randy Dobnak

5

vs.

Score

PIT

Home

Pittsburgh Pirates

Paul Skenes

8

LIVE Game Center

Final

Updated 07:25:23 PM

Stadium

PNC Park

Pittsburgh, PA · 38,705 capacity

Outfield 325 · 399 · 320 ft

Weather

Clear, 75°F

Wind

8 mph, Calm

Team123456789RHE
KCKCKansas City Royals103100000582
PITPITPittsburgh Pirates00221030–8150

Game finished

Batter, count and runner information is shown while the game is live.

Recent plays

MLB · EN
  1. ▲9

    Tyler Tolbert strikes out swinging.

    KC 5 · PIT 8
  2. ▲9

    Nick Loftin doubles (26) on a fly ball to second baseman Brandon Lowe.

    KC 5 · PIT 8
  3. ▲9

    Isaac Collins strikes out swinging.

    KC 5 · PIT 8
  4. ▲9

    Salvador Perez flies out sharply to center fielder Oneil Cruz.

    KC 5 · PIT 8
  5. ▼8

    Ryan O'Hearn grounds into a double play, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Oneil Cruz out at 2nd. Ryan O'Hearn out at 1st.

    KC 5 · PIT 8
  6. ▼8

    Jared Triolo pops out to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino in foul territory.

    KC 5 · PIT 8
  7. ▼8

    Oneil Cruz reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Bryan Reynolds to 3rd.

    KC 5 · PIT 8
  8. ▼8

    Bryan Reynolds doubles (39) on a ground ball to left fielder John Rave.

    KC 5 · PIT 8
  9. ▲8

    Michael Massey grounds out, second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.

    KC 5 · PIT 8
  10. ▲8

    Maikel Garcia called out on strikes.

    KC 5 · PIT 8
Statlyra predictionWon

Selection

Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5

F9 handicap

Probability

69.1%

Rating

8/10

Visual rating

★★★★★

Frozen record

Model
v5.0.0
Game ID
823331
Published
September 17, 2026 at 9:16 AM
Frozen
September 17, 2026 at 9:16 AM

Analysis

Statlyra rationale

Proyección 4.37-4.31 (total 8.67); línea +1.5; probabilidad 69.1%. Base abridores: visitante contra ERA ponderada MLB; local contra ERA ponderada MLB.