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FinalStatlyra prediction

September 20, 2026 at 11:35 AM

KC

Away

Kansas City Royals

Michael Wacha

3

vs.

Score

PIT

Home

Pittsburgh Pirates

Lake Bachar

4

LIVE Game Center

Final

Updated 02:39:52 PM

Stadium

PNC Park

Pittsburgh, PA · 38,705 capacity

Outfield 325 · 399 · 320 ft

Weather

Partly Cloudy, 72°F

Wind

7 mph, Out To CF

Team123456789RHE
KCKCKansas City Royals100000200391
PITPITPittsburgh Pirates00010102–481

Game finished

Batter, count and runner information is shown while the game is live.

Recent plays

MLB · EN
  1. ▲9

    Isaac Collins flies out to right fielder Jake Mangum.

    KC 3 · PIT 4
  2. ▲9

    Luke Maile doubles (2) on a fly ball to right fielder Jake Mangum. Luke Maile to 3rd. Luke Maile advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by right fielder Jake Mangum.

    KC 3 · PIT 4
  3. ▲9

    John Rave strikes out swinging.

    KC 3 · PIT 4
  4. ▲9

    Nick Loftin grounds out, shortstop Konnor Griffin to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.

    KC 3 · PIT 4
  5. ▼8

    Brandon Lowe grounds out softly, pitcher Anthony Gose to first baseman Salvador Perez.

    KC 3 · PIT 4
  6. ▼8

    Konnor Griffin doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to left fielder John Rave.

    KC 3 · PIT 4
  7. ▼8

    Jake Mangum grounds out, first baseman Salvador Perez to pitcher Nate Pearson.

    KC 3 · PIT 4
  8. ▼8

    Luke Maile challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Spencer Horwitz called out on strikes.

    KC 3 · PIT 4
  9. ▼8

    Rafael Flores Jr. homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Ronny Simon scores.

    KC 3 · PIT 4
  10. ▼8

    Ryan O'Hearn singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel.

    KC 3 · PIT 2
Statlyra predictionLost

Selection

Kansas City Royals Over 4.5 runs

Probability

75.3%

Rating

10/10

Visual rating

★★★★★

Frozen record

Model
v5.0.0
Game ID
823329
Published
September 19, 2026 at 9:15 PM
Frozen
September 19, 2026 at 9:15 PM

Analysis

Statlyra rationale

Proyección 6.30-4.57 (total 10.87); línea +4.5; probabilidad 75.3%. Base abridores: visitante contra ERA ponderada MLB; local contra ERA ponderada MLB.