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FinalStatlyra prediction

September 23, 2026 at 4:40 PM

STL

Away

St. Louis Cardinals

Matthew Liberatore

5

vs.

Score

PIT

Home

Pittsburgh Pirates

Lake Bachar

1

LIVE Game Center

Final

Updated 07:33:09 PM

Stadium

PNC Park

Pittsburgh, PA · 38,705 capacity

Outfield 325 · 399 · 320 ft

Weather

Partly Cloudy, 63°F

Wind

12 mph, In From CF

Team123456789RHE
STLSTLSt. Louis Cardinals0032000005100
PITPITPittsburgh Pirates010000000160

Game finished

Batter, count and runner information is shown while the game is live.

Recent plays

MLB · EN
  1. ▼9

    Ronny Simon strikes out swinging.

    STL 5 · PIT 1
  2. ▼9

    Nick Gonzales strikes out swinging.

    STL 5 · PIT 1
  3. ▼9

    Brandon Lowe grounds out, second baseman JJ Wetherholt to pitcher George Soriano. Bryan Reynolds to 2nd.

    STL 5 · PIT 1
  4. ▼9

    Bryan Reynolds walks.

    STL 5 · PIT 1
  5. ▲9

    Alec Burleson strikes out swinging.

    STL 5 · PIT 1
  6. ▲9

    Iván Herrera grounds into a double play, shortstop Konnor Griffin to second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn. JJ Wetherholt out at 2nd. Iván Herrera out at 1st.

    STL 5 · PIT 1
  7. ▲9

    JJ Wetherholt singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ronny Simon.

    STL 5 · PIT 1
  8. ▼8

    Rafael Flores Jr. grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Alec Burleson.

    STL 5 · PIT 1
  9. ▼8

    Konnor Griffin flies out to right fielder Jordan Walker.

    STL 5 · PIT 1
  10. ▼8

    Jake Mangum strikes out swinging.

    STL 5 · PIT 1
Statlyra predictionLost

Selection

St. Louis Cardinals Under 2.5 runs · innings 1–5

Probability

65.6%

Rating

8/10

Visual rating

★★★★★

Frozen record

Model
v5.0.0
Game ID
823327
Published
September 22, 2026 at 8:15 PM
Frozen
September 22, 2026 at 8:15 PM

Analysis

Statlyra rationale

Proyección 2.08-2.85 (total 4.93); línea +2.5; probabilidad 65.6%. Base abridores: visitante contra ERA ponderada MLB; local contra ERA ponderada MLB.